The Beast Lair has gotten the hook up from the HoopGeek to have, as of right now, the sole reproduction rights to two of the most exact statistical formulas I have ever seen, the Tendinitis Plus (TEN+) and Advanced Statistical Scouting (A.S.S.) formulas. The Hollinger’s and Berri’s of the world should definitely pay attention, as the numbers that we are going to get into definitely carry some weight.
Advanced Statistical Scouting (A.S.S.) Stats
Scr: Scoring (Lg. Avg. = 15) – Gives neutral weight to the ability to score (ie. balances out volume shooters vs low-usage efficiency.)
Reb: Rebounding (Lg. Avg. = 9) – Additional weight is given to those who procure the offensive variety.
Bhd: Ballhandling (Lg. Avg. = 0) – A negative rating isn’t a death sentence but it is a sign that someone else on the team needs to be handling the ball and playmaking.
Dsrp: Disruptive Defense (Lg. Avg. = 4) – Players with a rating = 4 aren't necessarily bad defenders, they just need to compensate for their inability to make consistent defensive plays with very good team defense.
TEN+ – Rating system that is similar in concept to OPS+ or ERA+ in baseball. Attempts to incorporate defense by using regression of on-court/off-court data. TEN+, at the team level, has consistently outperformed pythag in determining expected winning percentage.
190+ : MVP Canidate
150+ : Superstar
130+ : All-Star
100+ : Starter
75+ : Rotation
60+ : Deep Bench
=59: Spot minutes/Freely Available Talent*
We are going to delve deeper into these numbers throughout the season, but to just scratch the surface here are the Ten+ and A.S.S. numbers for the first 20 games, in alphabetical order.
TEN+: 95 Fair$: $7,113,212.87
A.S.S. Stats: Scr: 18 Reb: 4 Bh: 0 Dsrp: 2
TEN+: 88 Fair$: $3,629,113.73
A.S.S. Stats: Scr: 10 Reb: 5 Bh: 1 Dsrp: 4
TEN+: 147 Fair$: $14,263,864.60
A.S.S. Stats: Scr: 21 Reb: 12 Bh: 1 Dsrp: 5
TEN+: 57 Fair$: $835,019.42
A.S.S. Stats: Scr: 4 Reb: 6 Bh: -5 Dsrp: 4
TEN+: 87 Fair$: $3,326,503.74
A.S.S. Stats: Scr: 18 Reb: 4 Bh: -1 Dsrp: 4
TEN+: 45 Fair$: $1,043,357.43
A.S.S. Stats: Scr: 6 Reb: 5 Bh: -2 Dsrp: 7
TEN+: 122 Fair$: $7,659,481.59
A.S.S. Stats: Scr: 18 Reb: 14 Bh: -4 Dsrp: 6
TEN+: 151 Fair$: $15,223,992.61
A.S.S. Stats: Scr: 23 Reb: 6 Bh: 2 Dsrp: 4
TEN+: 182 Fair$: $23,664,617.34
A.S.S. Stats: Scr: 15 Reb: 6 Bh: 11 Dsrp: 8
TEN+: 68 Fair$: $1,512,287.63
A.S.S. Stats: Scr: 13 Reb: 2 Bh: -4 Dsrp: 5
TEN+: 96 Fair$: $5,377,650.18
A.S.S. Stats: Scr: 16 Reb: 9 Bh: -1 Dsrp: 8
TEN+: 105 Fair$: $4,283,908.71
A.S.S. Stats: Scr: 13 Reb: 15 Bh: -2 Dsrp: 5
Some brief thoughts: Its pretty evident by these numbers, and in real life, that Rondo is playing out of his mind right now. That doesn’t even take into account the last few games, post OKC, where his confidence has really soared. The same goes for the Sensei, Perk’s numbers have only gotten better of late. These two are proving why its the Starting 5 and not Big 3. Sheed, while out of shape, is earning his keep. Obviously, Shelden Williams has been a steal.